Thursday 29 August 2013

USDINR 29 August 2013 : An update

An update on my post USDINR 25 August 2013 : EW Counts Revisited .  The chart below says it all.  Atleast the immediate moves.



4 comments:

  1. SF ji,

    could it be possible that larger degree 3 (black color) itself ended at 69.25? The probable labels could be:
    blue a renamed as black 2.
    blue b renamed as 3.1
    blue e renamed as 3.2
    3.3 replaces current 3.1
    3.5 possible at 69.25

    I am sure you would have considered and ruled out these labels. I am keen to know what makes them invalid.

    Thanks,
    yg

    ReplyDelete
  2. YG ji, the count you are proposing is the one I was following till 65.96. At 65.96, its 3.3 as well as 3.5, both became extended, which is not acceptable and hence I am now ruling out this possibility. Apart from this, if you notice, the MACD aka BEBO has negated all negative divergences. That indicates that the 3rd is still in progress.

    There is another possibility of this entire move from 43 progressing as an ED. If the price action does not meet the requirements mentioned in the chart, this one will hold. 48 in that case will be coming in a hurry. A tick below 58.6 should be an alarm for this.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The counts which became invalid:

    51.365 - 55.875 = -4.51
    55.875 - 53.64 = 2.235 -49.55654102
    53.64 - 61.53 = -7.89 174.9445676 extended
    61.53 - 58.6 = 2.93 -37.1356147
    58.6 - 69.225 = -10.625 235.5875831 extended

    ReplyDelete
  4. The count I am following for now...

    60.24 - 65.561 = -5.321
    65.561 - 63.205 = 2.356 -44.27739147
    63.205 - 69.225 = -6.02 113.1366285
    69.225 - 66.535 = 2.69 -44.68438538 in progress/over
    66.535 - 70.22 = -3.685 69.25389964 projection

    The count above, is part of the following count:

    58.6 - 61.905 = -3.305
    61.905 - 60.245 = 1.66 -50.2269289
    60.245 - 69.225 = -8.98 271.709531 in progress

    ReplyDelete