Wednesday 20 February 2013

USDINR : The Fall may commence any time now.

USDINR, having broken the Black LTL that I mentioned in my post USDINR: At a crucial point , is now nicely poised for a downmove.  The downmove is also supported by a Wolfe wave (drawn in Blue) targeting 53.4 or lower, which also coincides with the median line of an APF (drawn in Green.  Based on the WW, APF and confluence zones of some of the TLs in the expected range for the move, the likely path USDINR may follow is shown in Red.



Saturday 16 February 2013

USDINR: At a crucial point


Both the counts of USDINR, which I had mentioned in my last post on USDINR : Technical Perceptions, still remain valid.  However, USDINR is currently knocking at a crucial door to open the flood gates for the count that was mentioned in blue.




At this juncture, the blue TL shown in the chart above, needs to be re-captured by the bears.  Coz if it went to bulls, there will be a decent possibility of USDINR continuing the rise.  A confirmation will come when 55.38 also is taken by bulls.

Trade Setup.  For Bulls, Longs can be initiated above the blue line with SL below the Black LTL for a targtet of 54.87, 55.62 and 56+.

For Bears, shorts can be initiated either below Blue TL or Below Black TL with SL just above the respective TLs for a target of 52.88, 51.36 and may be lower.






Tuesday 12 February 2013

Wednesday 6 February 2013

USDINR : Technical Perceptions.

The chart below is an attempt to introduce my perceptions on USDINR.




My most favorite count is the blue one.  The red one, as an alternate, keeps me on my toes.

Today's dip below the previous low has left me guessing but as long as the thin black channel is intact, USDINR is continuing to go down.  At this juncture, I am wary of the possibility of extended C5, whose first fractal was possibly done today.    More clarity may emerge tomorrow.